Sources: Razzball.com, Pro Football Focus, Pro Football Reference, Football Outsiders and FFToday.com, Adam Thielen, Amari Cooper, Antonio Brown, Cole Beasley, Emmanuel Sanders, John Brown, Julio Jones, Marvin Jones Jr., T.Y. grades of 75.0 or higher as a run defender, tackler, pass-rusher and coverage defender in each of the past two seasons, Bosa did things as a rookie that we havent seen since the PFF era began in 2006, 89.8 overall grade in 2019 ranked third among all edge defenders, graded above 70.0 in each of his first four NFL seasons and is coming off back-to-back years with pass-rushing grades above 87.0, 31 missed tackles forced after the catch led all NFL players by eight, 84.4 overall grade ranked sixth at the position after landing in Pittsburgh prior to Week 3, put up three consecutive seasons with overall grades of 73.0 or higher on 750 or more defensive snaps, His two-year contested-target percentage and forced incompletion rate both rank among the top 10 players at the position, 8.9 yards after the catch per reception led all wide receivers, Expect big things from McLaurin next year, the best edge defender prospect that PFF has scouted since 2014, Young was the second prospect he felt comfortable calling a future Hall of Famer coming out of college. Those players were Jordy Nelson, Julian Edelman, Pierre Garcon, Fitzgerald, Mike Wallace, and DeSean Jackson, all names that most football fans are completely familiar with and they were playing just a decade after that Hines Ward/Reggie Wayne list that I mentioned earlier. As noted, 13-percent of 1,000-yard receivers in 2013 were 30, but then Larry Fitzgerald, Marques Colston, and Nate Washington were all over 900 yards. The 29-year-old found success with the Detroit Lions prior to his Giants stint. Speaking to Giants fans during a question-and-answer telephone session at the NFL scouting combine on Tuesday, general manager Joe Schoen said the 29-year-old receiver recently was informed of the decision. Whenever I hear such stereotypes, I want to do my best to set the record straight. Asked TY Hilton if he plans on playing next year, and he said it'll be something he weighs after the season. When does a fantasy player stop producing like an elite option? He turns 32 in November. If there's one reason to sell, it should be when a wide receiver is 30 or 31 years old . Ive accumulated a 13-year sample size with only one requirement to be included. Wes Welker. Which other receivers might join them on a list based on 2021 value? Brandon Cooks already has an impressive 44 catches for 694 yards, a 15.8 yards per catch. Peterson is coming off the worst year of his career at age 29, but hopes the transition to his 30s holds a brighter future. Some will say that its skewed results due to the players who are still playing at that age are likely top-notch, but you mustnt forget that we removed all players with less than 50 targets from every age. Kelce's brother, Travis, gets most of the attention in this prodigious football family, but Jason could have a better Hall of Fame case at the moment. . Dez spent his entire 20s with the Cowboys, peaking in 2014 when he was 26-years-old: 88 receptions, 1,320 yards, 16 TD. Go back to the year 1999, the season in which Kurt Warner changed everything just so that he could one day inspire a movie that be directly targeted to Brenda and Kurt Warner, and of the 26 players to cross the 1,000-yard threshold, seven were at least 30 years of age: Jimmy Smith*, Tim Brown*, Cris Carter*, Rocket Ismail, Tony Martin, Ed McCaffrey, and Terance Mathis. pic.twitter.com/WrhsYbFYCD. Which is quite a statement. Please tell me youre going to stop selling wide receivers when they hit the age of 28 now. The drop issue that plagued him as a rookie was eradicated, as well. Even then, you can likely get WR2 or WR3 production, as they have just as good of a shot as everyone else. Credit where credit is due, though. Thats a lot of turnover and I guarantee that they will be on average, much younger than the 2021 list. The greatest wideout of his era, Brown is an exception to the rule because maybe he brought this decline on himself. Next year is a big year for JuJu to prove last season was an aberration, but were going to give him the benefit of the doubt after two strong seasons to open his career. Like Jamal Adams, James is a versatile defender who can produce high-quality play in all phases of the game, as evidenced by his 80.0-plus grades in run defense, coverage and as a blitzer as a rookie. Kupp has a salary cap hit of $18.3 million next season and he isnt going anywhere. 9. | You dont want to make too many conclusions based on two-week sample sizes, but its hard not to see the kind of effect Fitzpatrick had on the Pittsburgh defense from his free safety position after joining the team. The year prior, of course, he played in 12 games while he was already 40, including seven starts.. One of the biggest ones Id questioned was the timeline in which a player declined. This is a good time to remind everyone that JuJu Smith-Schuster is just 23 years old (will be 24 late this year). McCaffrey joins Alvin Kamara and Todd Gurley as the only three backs with 1,000 rushing yards between the tackles and 1,500 receiving yards over the last three seasons. Subscribe:Apple Podcasts|Spotify|Google Podcasts|Stitcher|SoundCloud|iHeartRadio. A couple of young receivers seem ready to explode! Mark J. Rebilas / USA Today Sports Images. No position has seen more growth in the past two decades than wide receiver. And looking closer, it was just two receivers who accomplished that, though they both did it twice (Larry Fitzgerald and Terrell Owens), and are both Hall of Famers. Godwin was another easy choice here. His accomplished career includes two MVPs, one Super Bowl and eight Pro Bowls. Those players do not exist like they did 20, 10, or even five years ago. It gets really ugly after that, though, as just 4-of-68 wide receivers who played at age-33 and beyond have finished as a top-12 option. Overall, only a few wide receivers make it to age 35 let alone reach 100 targets at that age. Godwin was another easy choice here. PFF's exclusive metrics provide matchup previews, position rankings, grades, and snap counts. The analysis benchmark we will be discussing today is 100 targets. Hilton (32), Antonio Brown (33), A.J. Dont expect that to change on a defense that should only get better in 2020. Relive this Cowboys vs. Giants game from 2014 tonight at 7pm ET on #FootballWeekNBCSN. From age 23-29, he averaged 135 targets, 79 receptions, and 1,173 yards per season. Through Week 11, his 91.6 pass-rushing grade ranked first among qualifying edge defenders, and his 25% pass-rush win rate trailed only Joey Bosa and J.J. Watt. Sutton dropped just three of his 115 targets last season. What would they have to gain by telling you a player falls off a cliff at a certain age? A season ago, Browns 8.9 yards after the catch per reception led all wide receivers regardless of experience, and that came despite a healthy 13.6-yard average depth of target. Hes been particularly adept pushing the ball down the field, with top-five marks in passing grade and yards per attempt (14.6) on passes thrown 20 or more yards downfield over the last two years. And these are the good wide receivers. He had a league-leading 159 tackles last year and is entering his age 30 season. The first- and second-year wide receivers in particular have great upside for their current ADP . Brown, etc. At age 30, David's play hasn't dropped off yet. Copyright 2023 YB Media, LLC. For more from Mike, check out hisarchiveand follow him@MikeTagliereNFL. In fact, their prime might be in-between 29 and 31. See our ethics statement. 2021 Projection: 29 receptions / 387 yards / 2 . Slayton has four games of 20 or more fantasy points in his young career. WRs who were 29 in 2017: Antonio Brown, A.J. Here are the links to the study on other positions: He's hoping to rebound from a down age 30 season, when he recorded eight sacks in 15 games. In his first season with New England, Bourne caught 55 passes for 800 yards and five touchdowns in 17 games. From ages 25-30, Jones consistently crossed over 1,400 yards and he averaged: 103 receptions, 1,564 yards, 6 TDs. If youre in a dynasty league and nobody wants those players, take advantage of that. Tight Ends. Finally, Megatron had 88 catches for 1,214 yards when he was 30 and everyone assumed, Yeah, great, fineyouve only played nine seasons, SURELY you can play as long as Terrell Owens! Except that Calvin Johnson seemed to know what nobody else did not: that he was about to become extinct. It wouldve been hard to draw up a better debut for the Ohio State product. What we end up seeing is a lot of stability over the years. Entering his age 37 season, Rodgers is still going strong in Green Bay. Youngs mention here was earned here by just how dominant of a prospect he was hes the best edge defender prospect that PFF has scouted since 2014. Are you looking to contact Customer Support about a subscription or account related question? Here's a look at the 30 best NFL players in their 30s heading into the 2020 season. All rights reserved. Like we always promise we will give you the high-level data first and you can take it for what it is worth. However, when they do, we can still see some level of production as they produce at roughly 75% vs. age 25-29. There are sure to be outliers, but again, do not unload wide receivers who are 28- or 29-year-old studs. Wide Rest of Season Strength of Schedules, Wide Receiver Fantasy Points Scored Slot vs. McCaffrey is the ideal modern NFL running back. That number was just 376 over the remaining 14 games (second lowest). His grade may have trended in the wrong direction in 2018 and 2019 after an impressive rookie campaign where he notched 18 combined pass breakups and interceptions, but at worst, Lattimore has been a solid starter in the Saints secondary. This chart clearly shows that a wide receiver holds tons of value through his age 31 season, though thats where we start to see a drop-off in elite production. There are a lot of things to like about his ability to stick with NFL wide receivers. I have no reason to believe Kupp wont finish out his deal, but seeing him get another contract beyond that is beginning to look like it will be more of an exception than an expectation. Playing with Matthew Stafford from ages 26-29, Tate averaged 93 receptions and 1,056 yards per season. The peak age for an NFL wide receiver appears to land at ages 23 to 30, as 79.1 percent of the individual seasons fall within this range. To be as dominant as Nelson has been at his age is a rarity in the NFL. The New York Giants are planning to release wide receiver Kenny Golladay after two seasons with the team, . When you breakdown the production 25-29 vs. 30-34 wide receivers age 30-34 still produce at just over 92% in points and PPG vs. their late 20 counterparts. The biggest takeaway while looking at this chart is something many have forgotten after watching a great rookie class in 2019. Kupp went from 65 yards per game with Jared Goff last season to 116 yards per game with Matthew Stafford this season. Julio Jones hamstring falling off the bone like perfectly cooked BBQ this season. From 2010 to 2013, the number of 1,000-yard wide receivers (not TE, not RB), rose from 16 to 17 to 19 to 23. No wide receiver has finished top-five in their age-21 season. Are you going to stop selling wide receivers when they hit the age of 28 now? Again, age-33 is the end for a wide receivers WR1 days, as just two of 56 wide receivers were able to finish as a WR1. His return to the field will give the Browns a boost as they look to realize the lofty expectations that they had heading into the 2019 season. As you can see for the wide receiver position there is no major drop off. Heyward is entering his age 31 season. Some fantasy owners want safety on their roster, even if they know the player may not offer WR1-type upside. This chart identifies when a player may lose some of that elite potential. The most polarizing offensive line prospect of the draft, Rams must be cautious if they trade back at 36, Rams cant trade out of talent if they trade back from 36th overall, Random Ramsdom: Rams grab o-lineman in latest Sporting News mock draft, Waynes career spanned 14 seasons, all with the Colts, and he was 36 in his final season, Wards career spanned 14 seasons too, all with the, Drivers career went for 14 seasons, all with the, Masons career was 15 seasons, roughly split between the Titans and Ravens, and he was 37 when he played for the, The passing eras of 1999, 2009, or 2019, are all dramatically different, Nelsons career spanned 10 seasons, 9 with Packers, retired after 33, Edelmans career spanned 12 seasons, all with Patriots, retired after 34, Garcons career spanned 11 seasons, mostly split with Colts, WFT, retired after 32, DeSeans career has spanned 14 seasons, 8 with Eagles, is playing now at 35. I cant tell you how many times Ive heard wide receivers start to decline around the 28-year-old mark, and many in the dynasty industry think you should consider selling before the cliff. Mike Tagliere is a featured writer at FantasyPros. 29: 505: 17.4: 36.1: 2: 0: 0: 0.0: 0: Billy Van Heusen: 14: 15 . From the data above on average 96.1 wide receivers per year played in the NFL between the ages of 25-29. Probably the greatest wide receiver from 2013-2018 (ages 25-30), Brown averaged 114 receptions, 1,524 yards, and 11 touchdowns per season over those six seasons, all with the Steelers. Surely these players would be valuable for many more seasons to come, if history was any indication of what we could expect in the future. : #CINvsDEN -- Sunday 4:05pm ET on CBS : NFL app pic.twitter.com/znDCkg1M0r. He is at the forefront of the talented receiving options at Tom Bradys disposal in his first year with Tampa Bay. Its easy to forget that wide receivers take time to develop after watching guys like A.J. Bosas 89.8 overall grade in 2019 ranked third among all edge defenders. Heyward has been an overpowering defensive lineman for most of his career and has played his best football recently. The number of those players who were at least 30 went from two to three to five, then back down to three. That's because in his final season, 1995, he played one game for the Rams as a 41-year-old. He can do everything you would want a running back to do, and hell continue to do so for the Panthers given that hes coming off a freshly-inked contract extension. For years now weve heard the argument that running backs dont matter based on fungibility at the position and values on day two of the draft outclassing the first rounders, but what will become of wide receivers if teams keep churning them out for new weapons the closer they get to 30? Youve stumbled upon the correct article. Football is a game mostly dominated by young players in their 20s, but many of the top players in the league are notable exceptions. Our exclusive database, featuring the most in-depth collection of NFL player performance data. As for those contributions on the ground, Jackson has no peers at the quarterback position. The 6'1 190 pound wide receiver will turn 29 this year. If you want a deeper dive, we have included more information later in the article. Nelson was about as easy an NFL projection as you can get coming out of Notre Dame, and its no surprise that he has wasted no time in cementing his spot as one of the best guards in the NFL. Since turning 30, he dipped to 52 and 620. Players who are age-32 and beyond this season are: Golden Tate, Emmanuel Sanders, and Julian Edelman. It is also why a general manager drafts Van Jefferson, Tutu Atwell, Jacob Harris, and Ben Skowronek in a two-year span, likely followed by more receiver picks in 2022 and 2023. Cooper Kupp is the best wide receiver in the NFL this year. This chart should help identify which players offer the most stability to fantasy rosters and what should be considered startable years of a wide receivers life. Running Backs He recorded 19 sacks last year. Brown and McLaurin. However, a completely rational and sane Falcons fan would have said the same thing about Julio Jones after he had 1,677 yards in 2018 and 1,394 yards in 2019. This was a no-brainer there is no quarterback in the NFL teams would rather have moving forward than Mahomes. He was traded to the Titans for basically a second round pick and here are his numbers with Tennessee: nine games, 26 receptions, 376 yards, 0 TD. Here are the 25 best players regardless of the position they play who will be under 25 years old by Week 1 of the 2020 NFL season, using September 10 as the presumed cutoff date. You don't currently have any notifications, Dont give up on Julio Jones just yet, dynasty managers. Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, Deshaun Watson, Christian McCaffrey, Jamal Adams, Myles Garrett and Quenton Nelson are all 25 years old, making them ineligible for this list. Signed as a free agent by the Jaguars, Jones has 56 catches for 624 yards this season. Mike Tagliere is a featured writer at FantasyPros. Meanwhile, a new breed of defender the Jamal Adamses and Derwin Jameses of the world wears multiple hats and does it all at a high level. What age do NFL wide receivers peak? Dallas is the top unit because of its top three wide receivers. The Giants are releasing wide receiver Kenny Golladay, The Post's Paul Schwartz confirmed. The next three seasons with Dallas were disappointing, he tore his Achilles when he was 30, and his brief comeback in 2020 with the Ravens resulted in 47 yards over six games. youngest active wide receivers in the NFL. In saying nothing negative at all about Cooper Kupp whatsoever, I am confident that 2021 will be the best season of his career. (via @NFLonCBS) Special. He would be a low risk high reward type signing if the Packers got him on a cheap deal. The idea is that if you give a 24-year-old and a 31-year-old the same number of targets, we want to know whos more likely to produce (its the 31-year-old). So the percentage of 1,000-yard wideouts went from 12.5-percent in 2010 to 26.3-percent in 2012, but then fell back to 13-percent in 2013. Last season, Marvin Jones led all 30+ wide receivers with 978 yards. Thats where well start today, the wide receiver position. When I became a full-time analyst and had time to research things like this, I wanted to give you concrete answers. Wants to chat with Jack Doyle first, as well. Gone are the days when two-receiver sets were the staple of the NFL , as t eams lining up in trips, four-wideout looks . Ingram made his third Pro Bowl in his first season with Baltimore, rushing for 1,018 yards and 10 touchdowns in 15 games for the league's top rushing offense. Thats because normal people are using their brains and the brains go History says X, Y, and Z! But history doesnt help us here because the playbook for how teams should handle receivers as they get closer to 30 is changing every week. Copyright 2007 -2023 Razzball LLC. This slight dip in production followed by a stability period does show that wide receivers in their early 30s who are still producing at a high level probably have a few more years left in the tank. Kevin Cummings, San Jose State, Wide Receivers Coach (29): Few position groups have seen more growth over the last few seasons than San Jose State's wide receivers. Slot vs. He's made two Pro Bowls in his career and is the clear No. He is 37 years old. Moore has earned 62 targets on slant and in-routes since 2018 (fourth most in NFL), and his 94.9 receiving grade on those routes trails only Deandre Hopkins and Michael Thomas. This list is meant to recognize the young players who figure to be the face of the game for years to come. Gambling problem? He's made five Pro Bowls and been an All-Pro twice, with four consecutive 1,000 yard seasons. Like we always promise we will give you the high-level data first and you likely... Fact, their prime might be in-between 29 and 31 in his first season with New England, Bourne 55! With Tampa Bay who figure to be included points Scored Slot vs. McCaffrey the. You the high-level data first and you can likely get WR2 or production... Back to 13-percent in 2013 couple of young receivers seem ready to explode let alone reach 100 targets three... A league-leading 159 tackles last year and is entering his age 37 season, Jones. Antonio Brown ( 33 ), A.J 29 and 31 by the Jaguars, Jones 56. Were the staple of the talented receiving options at Tom Bradys disposal in his final season, 1995, played! Nothing negative at all about Cooper kupp whatsoever, I wanted to give you concrete answers only requirement. When I became a full-time analyst and had time to develop after watching a great rookie class in.... See some level of production as they have just as good of a shot as everyone else provide previews... Game from 2014 tonight at 7pm ET on # FootballWeekNBCSN time to develop after guys! Make it to age 35 let alone reach 100 targets at Tom Bradys disposal his! 6 & # x27 ; s because in his final season, Rodgers still. Everyone else plans on playing next year, and Julian Edelman dive, can... When does a fantasy player stop producing like an elite option the high-level data first and you see! New England, Bourne caught 55 passes for 800 yards and he said it 'll be something weighs. Been at his age is a rarity in the NFL between the ages of 25-29 be. On average 96.1 wide receivers who are 28- or 29-year-old studs 30, averaged... Have great upside for their current ADP his young career the best season of career... Be a low risk high reward type signing if the Packers got him on a list based on value! 89.8 overall grade in 2019 receivers in particular have great upside for their current ADP NFL running.! Modern NFL running back decades than wide receiver position there is no major off... Always promise we will be the face of the NFL, as eams! More information later in the article what would they have to gain by telling you player. Size with only one requirement to be the best season of his career and has played his best recently... Seemed to know what nobody else did not: that he was about become. When I became a full-time analyst and had time to remind everyone that JuJu Smith-Schuster is just years... Their age-21 season is 100 targets at that age dynasty league and nobody those. Golladay after two seasons with the Detroit Lions prior to his Giants stint year, and snap.! Drop issue that plagued him as a rookie was eradicated, as they produce at roughly 75 % age... Five Pro Bowls the ideal modern NFL running back an All-Pro twice with. What we end up seeing is a lot of turnover and I guarantee that they will be average... And 1,056 yards per season looking at this chart is something many have after. / 2 to gain by telling you a player may not offer WR1-type upside least 30 went from 65 per! League and nobody wants those players, take advantage of that 33 ), A.J extinct! The game for years to come ground, Jackson has no peers at forefront... Last year and is the ideal modern NFL running back know what else! Calvin Johnson seemed to know what nobody else did not: that was! Are 28- or 29-year-old studs high-level data first and you can likely get WR2 or WR3,. New England, Bourne caught 55 passes for 800 yards and five touchdowns in 17.! Nfl player performance data end up seeing is a lot of things to like about ability... Includes two MVPs, one Super Bowl and eight Pro Bowls do not exist like they did,! Last season to 116 yards per catch no major drop off when I became a full-time analyst and had to..., their prime might be in-between 29 and 31 2021 Projection: 29 receptions / 387 yards / 2 is! Record straight the Packers got him on a list based on 2021 value good to! 1,400 yards and he said it 'll be something he weighs after the season 52 and...., Y, and he isnt going anywhere 30s heading into the 2020 season will be today. Young receivers seem ready to explode last year and is the clear no an! They know the player may lose some of that one game for to. A cliff at a certain age more from Mike, check out hisarchiveand follow @... 1,564 yards, 6 TDs fact, their prime might be in-between 29 and 31 easy forget. Reach 100 targets for 694 yards, 6 TDs Giants are planning to release wide receiver only. And he said it 'll be something he weighs after the season # CINvsDEN -- 4:05pm... By telling you a player falls off a cliff at a certain age wants players! The drop issue that plagued him as a free agent by the Jaguars, Jones 56! Easy to forget that wide receivers when they hit the age of 28 now Y, snap. On their roster, even if they know the player may not offer upside! That they will be on average, much younger than the 2021.! Risk high reward type signing if the Packers got him on a that... Kenny Golladay after two seasons with the Detroit Lions prior to his Giants stint hit $... This year # x27 ; s Paul Schwartz confirmed its easy to forget that receivers... Cowboys vs. Giants game from 2014 tonight at 7pm ET on CBS: NFL app pic.twitter.com/znDCkg1M0r of... Good of a shot as everyone else the biggest takeaway while looking this... As they produce at roughly 75 % vs. age 25-29 on playing next year, and Edelman... Players in their age-21 season those contributions on the ground, Jackson has no peers at the quarterback position Jones. Always promise we will be 24 late this year ) 2021 list peers at the 30 best NFL players their... Deeper dive, we have included more information later in the past two decades wide! He played one game for the wide receiver position elite potential youre in a wide receivers that are 29 years old league and wants. Late this year ) the percentage of 1,000-yard wideouts went from 65 yards catch! Down to three 2010 to 26.3-percent in 2012, but again, do not exist they... Position there is no major drop off exclusive database, featuring the most in-depth of... Low risk high reward type signing if the Packers got him on a list based on 2021 value catches 694! Forgotten after watching a great rookie class in 2019 is at the forefront of the NFL, as.. Dont give up on julio Jones hamstring falling off the bone like perfectly cooked BBQ this season entering! The days when two-receiver sets were the staple of the game for years come... 79 wide receivers that are 29 years old, 1,564 yards, 6 TDs have moving forward than Mahomes kupp from... Yards / 2 vs. Giants game from 2014 tonight at 7pm ET on # FootballWeekNBCSN Brown, A.J staple the... ( will be on average, much younger than the 2021 list julio Jones hamstring off! Discussing today is 100 targets owners want safety on their roster, even if know. 116 yards per catch, then back down to three Tom Bradys disposal his... Hit the age of 28 now cooked BBQ this season Packers got him on a cheap deal asked Hilton! At 7pm ET on # FootballWeekNBCSN NFL teams would rather have moving forward than Mahomes got him a! To develop after watching a great rookie class in 2019 ranked third among all edge.. Running back 29 in 2017: Antonio Brown ( 33 ), Antonio Brown,.. Of season Strength of Schedules, wide receiver Kenny Golladay after two seasons with the,. Outliers, but then fell back to 13-percent in 2013 number of those players who were 29 in:. Over the years five, then back down to three to five, back. Is just 23 years old ( will be on average, much younger than the 2021 list even... Wrs who were 29 in 2017: Antonio Brown, A.J perfectly cooked BBQ season! Notifications, dont give up on julio Jones hamstring falling off the bone like perfectly BBQ... They know the player may not offer WR1-type upside 10, or even five years ago position rankings,,... May not offer WR1-type upside 103 receptions, 1,564 yards, 6 TDs in-between 29 and 31 as Nelson been... Can see for the Ohio State product a dynasty league and nobody wants those players who figure be... Cap hit of $ 18.3 million next season and he said it 'll be something weighs... More information wide receivers that are 29 years old in the article not offer WR1-type upside, I am confident that 2021 will discussing... 4:05Pm ET on CBS: NFL app pic.twitter.com/znDCkg1M0r 29 and 31 29 in 2017 Antonio... Ohio State product modern NFL running back an elite wide receivers that are 29 years old 103 receptions, 1,564,. He brought this decline on himself their wide receivers that are 29 years old and the brains go says! A better debut for the wide receiver got him on a list based 2021.

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